XRP Price Prediction: Relief Rally Brews as $1.85 Support Holds Firm Against Oversold Weekly RSI

XRP bulls dig in at a critical line in the sand.

The Oversold Bounce Play

Weekly charts flash an oversold signal—a classic setup traders watch for a potential swing. It doesn't guarantee a moon mission, but it often precedes a technical rebound when paired with strong support.

The $1.85 Fortress

That's the number holding the line. Repeated tests and holds at this level build a foundation. A break below here changes the narrative entirely, but for now, it's acting as the springboard for the anticipated relief move.

The Path Ahead

Markets don't go straight up or down—they breathe. After a sustained period of selling pressure, a relief rally is the market catching its breath. It's a tactical move for nimble traders, not a fundamental shift in sentiment. Watch for momentum to confirm the bounce; otherwise, it's just another dead cat bounce in a crypto winter—the kind of move that separates the hedgies from the degens.

The digital asset has been consolidating around $1.85, a level that historically acts as a critical pivot for buyers. Technical indicators such as the weekly Stochastic RSI suggest oversold conditions, signaling that selling pressure may be easing. While this setup could lead to a bounce, traders should weigh broader market sentiment and regulatory factors, including the ongoing Ripple SEC lawsuit, when planning entries.

XRP Support Holds Strong

XRP’s lower support has remained resilient in recent sessions, offering a potential base for recovery. Analyst Rami Scalps noted on X, “$XRP lower support still solid. Patience is key here.” Historical market behavior indicates that support zones frequently precede short-term reversals, particularly during periods of consolidation.

XRP holds strong at $1.85 support, signaling potential stability as traders exercise patience. Source: @ramihijazi via X

TradingView data shows that after a 400% rally earlier in 2025, XRP has entered a phase of sideways trading. Despite a roughly 10% yearly decline, Ripple’s reported $1.3 trillion Q2 transaction volume underscores sustained utility and adoption. These figures suggest that, even amid consolidation, XRP maintains a strong transactional backbone, which can support price resilience.

Weekly Stochastic RSI Suggests Relief Rally Potential

According to CryptoInsightUK, XRP’s weekly Stochastic RSI has reached 0 for the fifth time since the November 2022 bear market low near $0.35. Historically, oversold readings at this level have sometimes triggered relief rallies, often ranging 20%–50% gains, though timing and duration can vary significantly depending on broader market conditions. In prior cycles, these rallies were often sharp but short-lived, especially when overall crypto sentiment remained fragile.

XRP’s weekly Stochastic RSI hits 0 for the 5th time since 2022, historically signaling a 100% chance of a relief rally. Source: @Cryptoinsightuk via X

It’s important to note that while the Stochastic RSI indicates oversold conditions, it does not guarantee a recovery. Traders should consider the indicator as one piece of the puzzle, alongside support levels, volume trends, and regulatory developments. A failure to hold key support could negate the potential relief rally.

Chart Analysis and Critical Price Levels

TradingView analyst CryptoSanders9563 highlights that XRP remains within a descending channel but is compressing NEAR the upper trendline, indicating a short-term decision zone. The asset recently tested the 100-day moving average, showing tentative momentum shifts.

XRP trades near the upper trendline of a descending channel, with key support at $1.85–$1.88 and a potential breakout above $2.00. Source: CryptoSanders9563 via X

Key levels for traders:

• Support: $1.85–$1.88 (short-term relief focus)

• Major Support: $1.75–$1.78 (invalidates accumulation thesis if broken)

• Resistance: $1.95–$2.00 (near-term upside target)

• Breakout Zone: $2.10–$2.40+ (would signal stronger bullish continuation)

“A decisive 4-hour or daily close above $2.00 could trigger a fast upside move, while a close below $1.75–$1.78 WOULD increase the likelihood of a deeper corrective phase,” notes CryptoSanders9563. This emphasizes the importance of clearly defined invalidation levels in technical analysis.

Final Thoughts

XRP’s current setup suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook in the near term. The strong support around $1.85, combined with oversold weekly Stochastic RSI readings, points to the possibility of short-term relief rallies.

XRP was trading at around 1.86, down 0.19% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: xrp price via Brave New Coin

However, traders should approach the market with realistic expectations. Historical relief rallies in XRP often see quick, volatile gains rather than sustained trend reversals. Regulatory developments, market liquidity, and broader crypto sentiment will heavily influence outcomes. For those considering short-term trades, the $1.85–$1.88 zone is critical, while a breach below $1.75–$1.78 could signal deeper downside.