XRP Price Prediction: RSI and Fibonacci Signals Fuel $1.88+ Breakout as New Year Begins

XRP kicks off 2026 trading decisively above a critical psychological threshold, with technical indicators flashing green for the next leg up.

The Bullish Convergence

Forget hoping for a miracle—the charts are doing the talking. The Relative Strength Index isn't just hovering in positive territory; it's building momentum that historically precedes significant price expansions. Meanwhile, key Fibonacci retracement levels, those favorite tools of chartists who believe nature's golden ratio governs digital asset swings, have solidified as a formidable support base. This isn't speculative froth; it's a technical foundation.

Breaking the Narrative

The move past $1.88 is more than a number. It represents a breach of a consolidation zone that had trapped price action for weeks, acting as a ceiling for rallies and a floor for sell-offs. Breaking it converts that ceiling into a new launchpad. Market structure is shifting from accumulation to potential markup, a phase where assets often see their most aggressive gains—provided the momentum holds.

The Path Ahead

Watch for sustained volume on up-days. The next major resistance zones are now in sight, and a clean hold above this level could trigger algorithmic buying from trend-following systems. Of course, in a market where a single billionaire's tweet can outweigh a perfect technical setup, nothing is guaranteed. But for now, the math favors the bulls. Just remember, in crypto, 'technical analysis' is sometimes just a sophisticated way to explain why you bought the top—but this time, the signals are aligning for a real move.

The advance followed a prolonged period of tight consolidation that compressed volatility and concentrated trading activity around well-defined technical levels. In this context, the breakout appears to align with broader market mechanics, namely, momentum stabilization and liquidity rotation, rather than isolated speculative behavior.

Tight Consolidation Leads to Break Above $1.88

Before the MOVE higher, XRP spent several sessions trading within a narrow band between $1.87 support and $1.88 resistance. Such compression patterns often precede volatility expansion, particularly when liquidity builds on both sides of a well-defined range.

XRP nears $1.88 resistance after testing $1.87 support, signaling a potential bullish breakout to start the New Year. Source: @PrecisionTrade3 via X

Crypto analyst TARA (@PrecisionTrade3), who primarily focuses on short-term price structure, previously characterized the setup as tactically significant rather than a confirmed trend reversal: “#XRP is coming RIGHT up to the critical $1.88 level (macro .5)… It’s in a very tight range now signaling a breakout is coming soon.”

Notably, the analyst emphasized the importance of holding $1.87 as structural support while also pointing to Bitcoin’s behavior NEAR $88,000 as a confirming factor. Following the breakout, XRP did trade above $1.88 and briefly tested the $2.03 area, broadly validating the volatility-expansion thesis, though longer-term confirmation remains dependent on follow-through.

Monthly RSI Near Key Threshold

Momentum indicators have also contributed to the current outlook, particularly XRP’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI), a higher-timeframe signal that tends to carry more weight than short-term oscillators during consolidation phases.

XRP’s monthly RSI approaches the critical 50 level, hinting at a potential rebound and bullish momentum in the near term. Source: @egragcrypto via X

Analyst EGRAG crypto (@egragcrypto) highlighted that XRP’s monthly RSI is trending toward the 50 level, a zone that has historically acted as a reset point following extended rallies. In previous cycles, rebounds from this midpoint often coincided with renewed upside momentum.

At the last observation, XRP’s monthly RSI was estimated near 52, placing it close to that historically relevant threshold. However, while this setup suggests improving momentum balance, such signals have proven less reliable during periods of broader market weakness, making confirmation from price structure and volume behavior essential.

Fibonacci Buy Zone Adds Technical Support

Additional technical context comes from movement-proportional Fibonacci buy zones, referenced by TradingView analyst DrPorta, which are commonly used to identify areas where corrective moves may stabilize.

XRP approaches key Fibonacci buy zones, highlighting potential support levels for a strategic upward move. Source: drporta on TradingView

In XRP’s case, price has recently respected Fibonacci retracement levels clustered around the 0.5 and 0.618 zones, suggesting demand is emerging at structurally meaningful areas rather than through momentum chasing. This behavior typically reflects more measured positioning by market participants, particularly during transitional phases rather than euphoric rallies.

Final Thoughts

XRP’s move above $1.88 heading into the New Year signals a constructive shift in short-term market structure, supported by stabilizing momentum and technically defined buying interest rather than abrupt sentiment changes. The alignment of a monthly RSI near a historical inflection zone with price holding within key Fibonacci support areas points to improving technical stability, though not yet a confirmed trend reversal.

XRP was trading at around 1.87, up 0.77% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: xrp price via Brave New Coin

Looking ahead, sustained acceptance above the $1.90–$1.95 range WOULD strengthen the breakout thesis, while a decisive loss of $1.87 on rising volume would undermine it. XRP’s trajectory also remains closely linked to Bitcoin’s ability to hold key support levels, as well as ongoing developments surrounding the Ripple–SEC case, both of which continue to shape market confidence. For now, the setup warrants close monitoring rather than decisive conclusions, with confirmation likely to come from price behavior rather than indicators alone.