Global Markets Surge with Promising Returns: A Bullish Signal for Crypto?

Markets roar back to life, delivering gains that have traditional investors scrambling. But where's the real momentum building?

The Numbers Don't Lie

While mainstream headlines cheer the surge, the underlying data points to a familiar pattern: capital seeking higher velocity and decentralized returns. It's the same old story—institutional money plays catch-up after the innovative frontier has already staked its claim.

A Shift in the Financial Weather

This isn't just a rally; it's a symptom. Promising returns in legacy markets often signal a hunt for yield that eventually spills over into digital asset corridors. Watch for the flow—it's already turning.

The Cynical Take

Funny how 'global market surges' always seem to benefit the usual suspects first, while everyone else gets a carefully managed narrative and delayed access to the actual alpha. Some things never change in finance—except the technology that's poised to bypass it all.

The surge is here. The question is whether you're reading about it or building on top of it.

Outlining the Macro Conditions for 2026 Expectations

According to the Kobeissi Letter, the potential for 2026 to be a “dream year” hinges on the expectation of continued easing in U.S. monetary policy. The U.S. Federal Reserve cut the policy rate three times in 2025 and ended the quantitative tightening process. The market anticipates further interest rate cuts in the upcoming year. With the arrival of a new Fed Chair, the pace of rate reductions may quicken.

Politically, Donald Trump’s call for a 1% interest rate and his promises of stimulus checks funded by tariff revenues keep liquidity and growth discussions for 2026 alive. The prospect of lower borrowing costs is seen as a factor that could boost appetite for riskier assets like cryptocurrencies and stocks. Following the record highs in gold and silver, investors may shift capital in search of higher returns.

The Role of Bitcoin in 2026 and the “Catch-up” Scenario for Crypto

Within the Kobeissi Letter’s framework, the cryptocurrency market may find a “catch-up” opportunity in 2026 after trailing expectations in 2025. Despite Bitcoin and some altcoins reaching new peaks throughout 2025, weak performance dominated the year’s duration. Thus, the potential for increased risk appetite in 2026 could theoretically lead to stronger performance from cryptocurrencies.

In the debate over which areas capital may flow into, the theme of artificial intelligence is highlighted as a favored niche. The Kobeissi Letter emphasizes that bitcoin has become more legitimate among institutional investors, particularly with the possible return of the Trump administration bolstering this perception. Should stocks and precious metals form a definitive peak, investors might shift towards areas perceived with higher return potential, with crypto being a candidate for this shift.