XRP Supply Shock: Exchange Reserves Plummet as ETF Hype Fuels $10 Price Target

Exchange-held XRP vanishes at alarming rate—just as institutional demand heats up.

Supply crunch incoming? With ETF rumors swirling, traders brace for volatility.

Wall Street's late to the party (again). Retail's already stacking XRP while banks figure out custody.

$10 or bust? The math works if ETFs absorb this shrinking supply. But remember—this is crypto. Buckle up.

XRP is suddenly flashing one of its strongest bullish signals of the year. In just 24 hours, 149 million XRP worth $336 million disappeared from exchanges. With exchange reserves collapsing and ETF demand rising, XRP supporters believe a major supply shock is now forming, one that could send prices much higher. 

Many are already calling 2025 the year XRP finally makes its big move, with bold predictions of $5–$10 by year-end.

XRP SUPPLY ON EXCHANGES IS COLLAPSING

According to on-chain researcher Ripple Bull Winkle, XRP is entering a phase where supply on exchanges continues to shrink. The chart clearly shows that exchange balances have been falling steadily over the months, hinting that more investors are removing XRP from trading platforms and shifting it into personal wallets or long-term storage.

Recent reports suggest that more than 149 million XRP, worth around $336 million, vanished from centralized exchanges within just 24 hours. These aren’t normal retail withdrawals. 

THIS IS NOT NORMAL: 1400000+ $XRP — over $336M — left centralized exchanges in 24 HOURS.

Supply is collapsing at the exact moment ETFs are going live.

You don’t need TA to see what’s happening. This is how a supply shock STARTS. #XRP #Ripple pic.twitter.com/nQfJXtlq2I

With less XRP available on public exchanges, the market becomes more sensitive to demand shocks, making any new buy pressure far more impactful.

The ETF Pressure Is Quietly Building

One major reason for the rising XRP supply shock is the strong demand from new ETFs. The first U.S.-listed spot XRP ETF by Canary Capital (XRPC) saw $58 million in trading volume on day one, the highest for any ETF launched this year.

Now, 11 more XRP ETFs are waiting for approval in the next 10 days. If each brings in even $1 billion, it could quickly drain the remaining XRP on exchanges. 

With low supply and rising institutional demand, the market may face a sharp liquidity squeeze and stronger price moves.

Only $3.8 Billion of XRP Left on Exchanges

One of the most striking points from the report is that only $3.8 billion worth of XRP remains on exchanges. For a top-tier crypto asset, this is extremely low. 

At the same time, the XRP-centric staking and rewards token XRPC recently processed $58 million, and analysts expect it could MOVE toward $1 billion in a month if the current pace continues. All of these points contribute to increasing strain on the liquid supply.

XRP Price Could Hit $10 by Year-End

As of now, XRP is trading around $2.27, holding support NEAR $2.20 after breaking out of a bullish wedge pattern. The key level to watch is $2.50,  a breakout above it could push XRP toward $2.80–$3.00 next.

With exchange supply falling and institutional interest growing, several analysts now believe XRP could reach $5–$10 by the end of 2025. 

Much of this outlook comes from the expectation that ETFs will lock up large amounts of XRP, tightening supply just as demand rises.