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Bitcoin’s $100K Countdown: How the Clarity Act Vote Could Fuel the Final Surge by Jan. 15

Bitcoin’s $100K Countdown: How the Clarity Act Vote Could Fuel the Final Surge by Jan. 15

Author:
Coingape
Published:
2026-01-08 16:13:14
12
1

Regulatory green light or red tape? The upcoming vote on the Clarity Act isn't just political theater—it's the potential catalyst for Bitcoin's final sprint toward a six-figure valuation.

The Regulatory Catalyst

Forget mining difficulty or halving cycles. The real volatility driver this week sits in a legislative chamber. A favorable vote could dismantle years of regulatory fog, giving institutional capital the clear runway it's been waiting for. The market isn't just watching; it's positioned for a binary outcome.

Timing the Tipping Point

January 15 isn't an arbitrary date pulled from a hat. It's the convergence point of technical momentum and regulatory possibility. Market structure suggests liquidity is primed to flow in one decisive direction post-vote. The narrative has shifted from 'if' to 'when'—and the 'when' now has a concrete deadline.

The Institutional Floodgate

Approval doesn't just mean compliance—it means legitimization. We're talking pension funds, sovereign wealth, and asset managers who've been sidelined by regulatory ambiguity. Their entry isn't gradual; it's a flood that re-prices everything. The Act provides the plumbing for that capital to move at scale, bypassing the patchwork of state-level rules that have kept traditional finance mostly watching from the sidelines.

Price Discovery on Steroids

Current resistance levels become mere history under institutional buying pressure. The path to $100,000 isn't a slow grind—it's a liquidity-driven surge that makes previous all-time highs look like practice runs. This is where textbook portfolio theory gets thrown out the window, replaced by the frantic recalculations of Wall Street analysts playing catch-up.

The market's pricing in a favorable outcome—because in finance, hope isn't a strategy, but front-running the news certainly is. The Clarity Act vote isn't just about legislation; it's the potential trigger that converts regulatory uncertainty into pure price momentum. By January 15, we'll know whether Bitcoin gets its institutional jet fuel or just another helping of bureaucratic promises. Either way, volatility is guaranteed—the only question is which direction it cuts.

Bitcoin price prediction 2026

Bitcoin dropped below $90,000 this week, continuing its slide from last year’s record high, as markets reacted to weak price action and an upcoming U.S. vote that could reshape how cryptocurrencies are regulated.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency is now down more than 28% from its October 2025 peak of around $126,000. Each rebound in recent weeks has faded, keeping pressure on prices.

January 15 Senate vote ahead

The U.S. Senate Banking Committee is scheduled to vote on January 15 on a crypto market structure bill known as the Clarity Act.

The bill is designed to curb market manipulation by banning wash trading and fake volume, making spoofing and front running illegal, and requiring U.S. exchanges to provide proof of reserves and regular audits. It WOULD also give regulators stronger tools to monitor market activity.

October crash still weighs on markets

The push for new rules follows a sharp selloff in October, when more than $100 billion in crypto positions were liquidated in a single day. Bitcoin and other digital assets fell together, but there was no clear public explanation of how the event began or which firms were involved.

Since then, price movements in crypto have appeared uneven, with sharp drops often following both positive and negative news.

Institutions watching regulation

Large financial firms largely limit their exposure to Bitcoin, staying away from smaller digital assets due to unclear rules. Clearer regulations could reduce legal risk and open the door to broader participation across crypto markets.

What’s next for the Bitcoin price?

The recent move higher did not develop into a clean and impulsive rally. Instead, it appears corrective in nature. In this case, the move came close to completion NEAR the $97,000–$98,000 range but did not fully meet that ideal structure. Because of this, there is still a strong possibility that the correction is incomplete and could extend further.

Bitcoin has already broken below its first short-term support level, which increases the chance that the corrective phase is not finished. The next important support zone sits between $86,540 and $88,240.

This range is now the main decision area. A strong reaction from this zone could still allow for one more short-term bounce. If price fails to hold here, the likelihood of further downside increases.

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