88% of Polymarket Bettors Say U.S. Government Shutdown Ends This Week—Will Crypto Markets React?

Washington's favorite circus act—the government shutdown—might finally pack up its tent. Polymarket traders are betting hard on a resolution, with 88% odds favoring a deal by week's end.

What does this mean for crypto? Probably nothing—DC's dysfunction has long been priced in. But hey, at least someone's making money on political chaos.

While politicians play chicken with the economy, decentralized markets keep grinding. Maybe blockchain governance wasn't such a crazy idea after all.

Polymarket Bettors Place Bets On Government Shutdown

According to the poll titled “When will the Government shutdown end?” 88% of participating Polymarket bettors believe the U.S. government shutdown will come to an end on Friday at the latest.

That figure marks an over 50% increase overall, with just 30% of bettors predicting the political dysfunction WOULD end within the same timeframe on the morning of November 7.

Should the Polymarket bettors’ prediction come true, it would signify an end to the longest government shutdown in American history.

Democratic Minority Breaks From the Fold

News of the prediction market’s latest figures comes as U.S. lawmakers inch closer toward finally reaching an agreement that would formally put an end to the nearly month-long shutdown.

A minority of Democrats helped to advance a deal on Sunday that would see the U.S. government funded through January in exchange for Republicans agreeing to a mid-December vote on prolonging health care tax credits.

The deal also needs to be officially approved by the House of Representatives and signed by current U.S. President Donald Trump.

However, not all Democratic lawmakers were thrilled with their colleagues’ decision to strike a deal.

On Sunday, Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) took to X to claim that voting for the bill would be a “mistake.”

I will not support a deal that does nothing to make health care more affordable.

We are in a health care emergency. A simple one-year extension of these tax credits would cost less than Donald Trump’s $40 billion bailout for Argentina.

A vote for this bill is a mistake.

“I will not support a deal that does nothing to make health care more affordable,” Warren said. “We are in a health care emergency. A simple one-year extension of these tax credits would cost less than Donald Trump’s $40 billion bailout for Argentina.”

Should the government reopen, it would allow U.S. lawmakers to pursue developing digital asset policy under a crypto-friendly political atmosphere.