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Japan’s Crypto Crown: XRP Dominates Cash Inflows as New 20% Tax Rate Cements Its Reign

Japan’s Crypto Crown: XRP Dominates Cash Inflows as New 20% Tax Rate Cements Its Reign

Published:
2026-01-07 11:19:36
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XRP isn't just winning in Japan—it's rewriting the rulebook. While other tokens jostle for position, Ripple's digital asset has quietly captured the lion's share of fiat flowing into the country's exchanges. Now, a seismic shift in policy threatens to lock in its lead for good.

The Regulatory Hammer Drops

Japan's Financial Services Agency just unveiled a streamlined 20% flat tax on crypto gains—a move that slices through previous complexity. For institutions and retail traders alike, predictability suddenly trumps speculation. The new regime doesn't pick winners, but it solidifies the advantage of the asset already dominating on-ramps. XRP's existing liquidity and banking partnerships become moats, not just features.

Liquidity Begets Liquidity

Network effects are kicking in hard. More inflows mean deeper order books, which attract more institutional flow—a virtuous cycle that leaves competitors scrambling. The tax change effectively punishes hopscotch between volatile assets and rewards sticking with established, liquid options. Guess who's sitting pretty with the deepest pools?

Watch the Gatekeepers

Major Japanese banks and payment rails, long cautious, are now accelerating XRP integration. The regulatory clarity acts as a green light for traditional finance to build on top of the existing leader. Why experiment with unproven networks when the top contender already has the infrastructure and compliance pedigree?

A New Phase Begins

This isn't about short-term pumps. It's about structural dominance. Japan's market has often been a bellwether for global adoption. If XRP can cement its role as the primary fiat gateway in the world's third-largest economy, that narrative will ripple outward. The 20% tax isn't a barrier—it's a filter, and XRP is what's left after the sediment washes away. The rest of the crypto market is left playing catch-up in a game where the house just changed the rules in favor of the incumbent. Sometimes, boring policy changes make for the most exciting market dynamics—a fact Wall Street veterans have long known, but crypto natives are just painfully learning.

Policy stack

Japan's FSA finalized plans to reclassify 105 major cryptoassets as “financial products” under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, moving them out of the lighter Payment Services Act regime.

Exchanges listing these assets face issuer-style disclosure, volatility, and blockchain risk reporting, and insider trading restrictions. The bill goes to the 2026 ordinary Diet session.

The same package reduces the effective tax rate on eligible crypto income from as high as 55% to a flat 20%, aligning crypto taxation with that of stock investments.

Japan’s 20% crypto tax sets a new bar in Asia, pressuring Singapore and Hong Kong as retail costs fall

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The FSA also advanced a yen-pegged stablecoin initiative that resulted in Japan's first licensed JPY stablecoin, JPYC, while exploring ways to allow local banks to trade cryptocurrencies, much as they trade stocks and government bonds.

Put together, the changes to the policy stack are as described in the table below:

Policy area Policy change What it does in practice Implication for crypto markets Timeline / status
Asset classification Reclassifies 105 major cryptoassets as “financial products” under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA), instead of the lighter Payment Services Act regime Brings targeted tokens into the same legal bucket as traditional securities, triggering issuer-style disclosure, volatility and blockchain-risk reporting, and insider-trading rules for exchanges that list them Moves major tokens into the familiar securities-market framework, making it easier for brokers, exchanges, and institutions to treat leading coins like mainstream investable assets Bill slated for submission to the 2026 ordinary Diet session
Exchange and issuer obligations Imposes disclosure and risk-reporting duties on exchanges listing the reclassified assets Requires detailed information on technology, market and governance risks, plus monitoring for abusive trading activity Improves transparency and investor protection, giving institutional compliance teams more comfort around listing and holding large-cap cryptoassets Comes into force with the 2026 FIEA amendment once passed and implemented
Tax treatment Cuts effective tax on eligible crypto income from up to 55% to a flat 20%, in line with equity taxation Aligns crypto capital gains with stock investments rather than high progressive income brackets Lowers the friction for households, HNWIs and corporates to hold and trade crypto, and makes exchange-listed or fund-wrapped exposure more attractive on a risk-adjusted, after-tax basis Included in the same reform package; designed to take effect alongside or shortly after the legal reclassification
Stablecoin regime Advances a yen-pegged stablecoin framework that enabled Japan’s first licensed JPY stablecoin, JPYC Provides a regulated path for issuing and using JPY-backed stablecoins within domestic markets Creates native JPY liquidity rails for trading and settlement, paving the way for onshore stablecoin pairs and integration of crypto into payments and capital-markets infrastructure Framework already in motion, with JPYC live as the first licensed JPY stablecoin
Bank and securities participation Explores ways for local banks to trade cryptocurrencies in a manner similar to stocks and government bonds Opens the door for banks and their securities arms to directly offer crypto dealing, custody and related services Enlarges the set of regulated institutions that can intermediate crypto exposure, supporting deeper liquidity, more sophisticated products and institutional flows Ongoing supervisory workstream linked to the broader 2026 reform and bank-level licensing decisions
Political and regulatory framing Positions digital assets within the securities-market playbook, with stock and commodity exchanges as primary gateways for investors Signals that crypto will be accessed mainly through regulated exchanges and securities-type products such as ETFs and structured notes Anchors the long-term vision in traditional market infrastructure, clearing a path for exchange-listed crypto products, bank custody and broker-distributed exposure that can scale institutional participation Articulated in recent government and ministry statements; provides the narrative and policy direction that the 2026 legal and tax changes are meant to operationalize

Adoption gap

Chainalysis' 2025 Global Crypto Adoption Index ranks Japan 19th worldwide for overall crypto adoption. Yet, on the “institutional centralized service value received” sub-index, Japan falls to 27th.

Japanese consumers and high-net-worth users are engaged, but flows of $1 million or more through centralized venues lag grassroots activity.

Japan's on-chain value received grew 120% in the 12 months to June 2025, outpacing India (99%), South Korea (100%), Indonesia (103%), and Vietnam (55%). Chainalysis links that growth to regulatory reforms, tax plans, and stablecoin licensing.

Japan's crypto adoption growth in one year

Japan's on-chain value received grew 120% year-over-year, outpacing Indonesia, South Korea, India, and Vietnam, per Chainalysis data.

The critical detail: from July 2024 to June 2025, purchases of JPY on centralized exchanges went “predominantly into XRP,” with about $21.7 billion in XRP bought, versus roughly $4.7 billion in BTC and $2 billion in ADA.

The report explicitly suggests investors are betting on the “real-world utility of XRP” given Ripple's strategic partnership with SBI Holdings.

The Japanese crypto industry is growing fast, institutions lag retail, and XRP dominates JPY on-ramp volume.

Why XRP captures the institutional pathway

The payments rail isn't hypothetical. SBI Remit, part of SBI Holdings, has used Ripple's payment technology since 2017. In 2021, it became the first Japanese remittance provider to use XRP as a bridge asset for Japan-Philippines transfers.

In 2023, SBI expanded that model so XRP now bridges remittances from Japan into bank accounts in the Philippines, Vietnam, and Indonesia.

These aren't pilot programs, but live corridors moving money across the region's most active remittance routes.

On the stablecoin side, Ripple and SBI signed a memorandum of understanding in August 2025 for SBI VC Trade to distribute Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin domestically. The SBI-related firm is the first to hold Japan's Electronic Payment Instruments Exchange Service Provider license.

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The partnership targets institutional demand and emphasizes full US dollar backing, short-term Treasuries, and monthly attestations to meet regulatory expectations.

The ETF angle is tailor-made for this thesis.

In August 2025, SBI's earnings materials outlined plans for Japan's first dual-asset crypto ETF, pairing bitcoin and XRP. SBI aims to launch “upon regulatory approval” in anticipation of the FSA's reclassification of crypto as a financial product.

The Bitcoin-XRP ETF WOULD list on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. XRP shares top billing with Bitcoin in the institutional product design.

Recent research describes Japan as one of the most “Ripple-friendly” jurisdictions, with SBI Remit's XRP corridors cited as examples of lower-cost, near-instant transfers and as a testbed for cross-border rails in Asia.

When regulators in Tokyo talk about “real-world utility” or “digital year” in the same breath as capital markets, XRP is one of the few assets already plugged into regulated institutions and payment flows.

Japan is the 5th-largest country in APAC

Japan is the 5th-largest country in APAC for crypto adoption, with nearly $200 billion in on-chain value received, followed by Australia and Pakistan, per Chainalysis.

How exposure actually reaches investors

Once the FSA's proposals are enacted, those 105 cryptoassets will fall under FIEA, with disclosure, insider-trading controls, and product-governance rules similar to those for equities and funds.

That unlocks the existing machinery of Japanese finance: securities firms, banks' securities arms, and exchange-listed products.

The Osaka Digital Exchange already operates START, Japan's first secondary market for security tokens, which is funded by institutions such as SBI and major brokerages.

Policy work from Nomura Research Institute lays out the menu: investment trusts holding spot crypto, futures-based crypto funds, sale of foreign Bitcoin ETFs to domestic investors, and potential cross-listings of US products on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

Regulatory scorecard

Japan's current regulatory framework permits foreign crypto ETF purchases but restricts domestic origination and cross-listing of spot crypto products.

Overlay SBI's plans for a Bitcoin-XRP ETF, SBI VC Trade's role as a licensed crypto and stablecoin venue, and SBI Remit's existing XRP rails.

The institutional pathway becomes clear: JPY savings and corporate cash can transform into regulated exposure to XRP through exchange-listed ETFs, investment trusts, or structured notes sitting on top of XRP liquidity on domestic exchanges.

What “more XRP liquidity” actually looks like

At the microstructure level, the easiest near-term effect shows up in JPY spot markets.

Tax cuts and a MOVE into the securities law framework make it easier for brokers and wealth managers to recommend regulated crypto products.

For XRP, which already dominates JPY fiat on-ramp volume, that likely manifests as higher daily JPY/XRP traded volume, deeper order books, and tighter spreads versus USD pairs.

Chainalysis' $21.7 billion figure for XRP/JPY inflows provides a baseline for comparison.

XRP/JPY dominance in Japanese order books

XRP accounted for $21.7 billion in JPY purchases on centralized exchanges, far exceeding BTC's $4.7 billion, per Chainalysis data.

On the payments side, if Remit and its partners continue expanding corridors and if yen-backed stablecoins like JPYC or bank-issued tokens become standard settlement assets, XRP's role as a bridge currency for regional remittances will strengthen. That creates a persistent two-way FLOW and liquidity in Asian trading hours.

The ETF and securities-wrapper LAYER represents the institutional inflection point.

If the Bitcoin-XRP ETF or a similar product is approved, XRP could see demand from pension funds, asset managers, and corporate treasuries that can only access assets through FIEA-compliant wrappers.

In practice, that appears as growth in ETF AUM, creation and redemption activity linked to XRP, and a larger share of global XRP volume routed through JPY-venue authorized participants.

Upside without the oversell

Japan is a fast-growing crypto market. Policy is shifting to treat major tokens as full financial products, with lower tax rates.

Regulators want exchanges and ETFs to serve as the access points. XRP is unusually entrenched in Japan due to JPY on-ramp dominance, SBI/Ripple's remittance infrastructure, and proposed ETFs.

The caveats matter: no crypto ETFs have been approved yet, the FSA hasn't publicly named XRP as a preferred asset, and liberalizing stablecoins could dilute some of XRP's structural advantage in JPY flows as USDC and JPYC become more widely available.

But if Japan's “digital year” pushes regulated exchanges and ETF wrappers to the center of crypto access, XRP is one of the few non-Bitcoin assets that already has both domestic policy alignment and real transactional use in Japan and across Asian remittance corridors.

The institutional gap Chainalysis identifies of 27th in institutional flows, despite 19th in overall adoption, represents the space these reforms are designed to fill.

When that gap closes, the assets that already sit inside Japan's regulated financial plumbing, that already move real money across the region's payment rails, and that already appear in proposed ETF structures have a structural head start. XRP fits that description in ways most tokens don't.

|Square

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