Bitcoin Supercycle Set to Dominate Through 2026 and Beyond: Mike Alfred’s Bold Prediction

Bitcoin isn't just bouncing back—it's rewriting the rulebook on market cycles entirely.

The Extended Horizon

Veteran analyst Mike Alfred sees Bitcoin's current trajectory stretching well past 2026, defying traditional four-year cycle expectations. This isn't your grandfather's bull market—it's a fundamental shift in how digital assets mature.

Institutional momentum keeps building while retail investors finally understand what 'store of value' actually means. The halving cycles? They're becoming less about supply shocks and more about sustained adoption curves.

Wall Street's still trying to price this thing like it's just another stock—meanwhile, Bitcoin's busy creating its own economic reality. The traditional finance crowd keeps waiting for the bubble to pop while missing the forest for the trees.

This extended runway gives developers more time to build, regulators more time to adapt, and skeptics more time to be wrong. The digital gold narrative is evolving into something much bigger—a parallel financial system that doesn't need permission to exist.

Because nothing says 'financial revolution' like watching hedge fund managers finally understand blockchain while still charging 2-and-20 for the privilege.

Institutional strength and market evolution

Mike noted that the majority of bitcoin purchases are now made by large institutions, which has helped to stabilize the market and lessen its erratic fluctuations. He pointed out that traders still act on emotions selling too soon or buying too late, while large investors keep buying. He also mentioned that Bitcoin treasury companies are starting to affect how money moves in the market, but he’s unsure if U.S. firms can copy MicroStrategy’s approach successfully.

He thinks other countries could see more creative ways for companies to hold Bitcoin because of friendlier rules and tax benefits. As more Bitcoin investment options appear, managing money has become trickier for big investors. Mike suggested keeping a solid, long-term Bitcoin holding and balancing it with safer investments that generate steady income to avoid emotional decisions.

Experts challenge the four-year cycle theory

Many experts have shared contradictory views recently. Analyst TechDev stated, “Never been a 4-year Bitcoin cycle. Never been the halving. Always been the business cycle.” Similarly, Lark Davis echoed Arthur Hayes’ view that global liquidity, not halvings, drives Bitcoin’s rallies. Hayes said, “The 4-year cycle is dead… the real top isn’t coming anytime soon.”

According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin is currently trading at $121,120, with a 24-hour trading volume of $75.7 billion, down 0.59% today.

Bitcoin’s next big peak might still be a long way off. With more big investors buying and money flowing into the market, this bull run could keep going strong until 2027.

Also Read: Bitcoin Whale’s $420M Short Position Sparks Market Buzz