Will Solana’s Long-Term Trendline Hold Strong and Keep Prices Above $130 in 2025?

• Solana’s 2025 Price Journey: What’s Next?
• Why $130 Matters More Than You Think
• The Bull Case: Network Upgrades and Institutional Adoption
• Risks Lurking in the Shadows
• FAQs: Your Burning Solana Questions Answered

Solana (SOL) has been a standout performer in the crypto market, but can its bullish trendline survive the volatility of 2025? This article dives into SOL’s price action, historical resilience, and expert insights to unpack whether $130 is a sustainable floor. Spoiler: The charts have a story to tell.

Solana’s 2025 Price Journey: What’s Next?

Solana’s price trajectory has been a rollercoaster, but one thing’s clear—its long-term trendline has been a reliable support level since 2023. As of November 2025, SOL is flirting with the $130 mark, a psychological threshold that’s got traders split. Some see it as a springboard; others, a cliff edge. Data from TradingView shows SOL’s trendline has survived three major market shocks this year alone, including the bitcoin ETF approval frenzy and the SEC’s stablecoin crackdown.

Why $130 Matters More Than You Think

In crypto, round numbers often act as magnets for price action. For SOL, $130 isn’t just another digit—it’s where the 200-day moving average converges with its ascending trendline (see chart). A BTCC market analyst noted, “If SOL holds here, we could see a retest of $150 by December. But if it cracks… well, let’s just say my stop-loss is ready.” CoinMarketCap data reveals that 72% of SOL trading volume in Q3 2025 occurred above $120, suggesting strong institutional interest at these levels.

The Bull Case: Network Upgrades and Institutional Adoption

Solana’s Firedancer upgrade—finally live as of September 2025—has slashed transaction failures by 89% (Solana Foundation report). Combine that with Visa’s pilot program for SOL-based settlements, and you’ve got fundamentals that could justify higher valuations. “I’ve seen more TradFi folks asking about SOL than ETH this quarter,” admits a BTCC OTC desk manager. “The ‘Ethereum killer’ narrative isn’t dead yet.”

Risks Lurking in the Shadows

Not all sunshine though. Solana’s correlation with Bitcoin remains stubbornly high (0.87 per CryptoQuant), meaning any BTC slump could drag SOL below $130 faster than you can say “macroeconomic headwinds.” And let’s not forget—this is crypto. Remember when SOL dipped to $80 during the June 2025 leverage liquidation storm? Yeah, good times.

FAQs: Your Burning Solana Questions Answered

What’s the strongest support level for SOL in November 2025?

Technical analysis suggests $125-$128 is critical support, with $130 acting as psychological reinforcement. A break below $120 could signal trend reversal.

How does Solana’s current valuation compare to competitors?

SOL’s P/S ratio (price-to-sales, based on chain revenue) sits at 18.7 vs. ETH’s 22.1—cheaper, but with higher throughput potential.

Could regulatory changes impact SOL’s price?

Absolutely. The SEC’s ongoing “crypto securities” review remains a wildcard, though SOL’s decentralized app ecosystem provides some insulation.