Bitcoin Today (Oct 10, 2025): The Ominous Signal That Preceded Major Crashes Has Reappeared
- What’s This “Ominous Signal” Everyone’s Talking About?
- Why This Time Might Be Different
- Historical Precedents: When the Signal Worked (And When It Didn’t)
- What Traders Are Doing Right Now
- FAQ: Your Bitcoin Signal Questions, Answered
Bitcoin’s price action on October 10, 2025, is flashing a chillingly familiar pattern—one that historically preceded steep declines. Analysts from BTCC and CoinMarketCap data reveal this signal has accurately predicted past crashes, including the 2022 bear market. But is history doomed to repeat itself? We dive into the technicals, historical context, and what traders are saying (spoiler: it’s not all doom and gloom). --- ###
What’s This “Ominous Signal” Everyone’s Talking About?
The signal in question is a rare confluence of technical indicators: a bearish TD Sequential count on the weekly chart paired with a death cross (50-day MA dipping below the 200-day MA). According to TradingView data, this combo preceded Bitcoin’s 65% drop in 2018 and the 55% plunge in 2022. Now, as of October 10, 2025, it’s back—and social media is buzzing with comparisons to those bloodbaths.
Why This Time Might Be Different
Before you panic-sell your Satoshis, consider this: in 2023, the same signal appeared briefly but was invalidated when institutional inflows surged (thanks, BlackRock’s ETF). BTCC analyst Mark R. notes, “Macro conditions today—like Fed rate cuts and adoption in emerging markets—could cushion a fall.” Still, he cautions, “Never ignore the charts entirely.”
--- ###Historical Precedents: When the Signal Worked (And When It Didn’t)
Let’s geek out on data. Here’s how bitcoin reacted after past occurrences:
| Year | Signal Date | Subsequent Drop | Invalidated? |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Mar 12 | 65% in 4 months | No |
| 2022 | Jun 7 | 55% in 3 months | No |
| 2023 | Aug 3 | 12% dip | Yes (reversed in 2 weeks) |
Key takeaway? The signal isn’t foolproof—but ignoring it is like ignoring a “Bridge Out” sign because your GPS says otherwise.
--- ###What Traders Are Doing Right Now
Per BTCC exchange data, open interest for BTC put options spiked 30% today. Meanwhile, crypto Twitter is split: “Time to short” vs. “Buy the fear.” One thing’s clear—volatility is coming. As one trader joked, “Grab popcorn or a parachute.”
--- ###FAQ: Your Bitcoin Signal Questions, Answered
How reliable is this signal historically?
It’s had a 75% accuracy rate in predicting drops >20%, but external factors (like regulation/news) can override it.
Should I sell my Bitcoin holdings?
This article does not constitute investment advice. DYOR—maybe review your risk tolerance and hedge strategies.
Where can I track this signal myself?
TradingView’s free charts show TD Sequential. For MA crosses, even CoinMarketCap’s basic tools work.
