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TD Cowen’s Crypto Market Structure Bill Warning: 2027 Passage Timeline Looms

TD Cowen’s Crypto Market Structure Bill Warning: 2027 Passage Timeline Looms

Published:
2026-01-06 09:56:41
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Washington's regulatory gears grind slow—and for crypto, they might not catch up until 2027.

That's the stark timeline from analysts at TD Cowen, who just threw a bucket of cold legislative reality on hopes for swift digital asset rules. Their warning centers on the long-fought Crypto Market Structure Bill, a piece of legislation that aims to carve out clear rules of the road for exchanges, tokens, and custody.

The Long Road to Clarity

Forget a quick fix. The path to passing comprehensive crypto law is a marathon, not a sprint, tangled in committee reviews, political maneuvering, and the sheer complexity of fitting decentralized tech into legacy frameworks. Every session delay pushes final adoption further down the calendar.

Why 2027 Feels Plausible

Look at the congressional calendar, the election cycles, and the sheer number of stakeholders needing to align. TD Cowen's projection isn't born of pessimism but procedural realism. It maps the typical multi-year journey for major financial legislation onto the uniquely contentious crypto debate.

The industry's plea for certainty? It's stuck in a holding pattern, with innovators left to navigate a patchwork of agency actions and enforcement lawsuits. Some might call that 'regulatory flexibility'—others call it costly ambiguity.

The Waiting Game

So what happens in the interim? The market won't freeze. Development continues offshore, projects adapt, and the regulatory vacuum gets filled by other means—just not by the comprehensive clarity everyone claims to want. It's the financial world's classic move: demand simple rules, then lobby endlessly to complicate them.

The clock is ticking. And if TD Cowen's read is right, it won't strike a decisive hour for another few years. Until then, fast-moving tech meets slow-moving politics—a mismatch as old as Wall Street itself.

TD Cowen Warns Crypto Market Structure Bill Could Take Until 2027 to Pass

U.S. efforts to establish clear rules for crypto markets may take far longer than policymakers and industry participants once expected.

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