Tesla Stock Defies Gravity: TSLA Climbs Despite Q4 Earnings Miss - Unstoppable Force?

TSLA laughs at fundamentals. Again.
Another quarter, another earnings report that Wall Street analysts clutch their pearls over—and another day Tesla shares decide to climb anyway. The disconnect between quarterly performance and market momentum isn't just a trend; it's becoming Tesla's brand.
The Narrative Engine vs. The Spreadsheet
Forget the income statement. The real action is in the story. While the numbers might whisper 'miss,' the vision of autonomy, energy dominance, and AI-driven robotics shouts a future so loud it drowns out present-day noise. Investors aren't buying a car company; they're buying a ticket to that future.
Momentum Beats Math
This isn't investing; it's a momentum trade wearing a long-term disguise. The stock's trajectory creates its own reality, pulling in capital that fuels more growth, which justifies the trajectory—a beautiful, self-fulfilling prophecy. Who needs earnings when you have a cult?
One cynical finance jab: It's the ultimate 'story stock'—where the quarterly report is just a boring footnote in the epic saga shareholders are telling themselves.
The real question isn't about this quarter's figures. It's whether the faith—the sheer, stubborn belief in a Tesla-dominated tomorrow—can remain bulletproof long enough to make today's price look cheap. Bet against it at your own peril.
Tesla’s 2025 in Review: How High Can TSLA go in 2026?
In the past year, Tesla stock has climbed nearly 18%, with most of its gains coming after a crash in price over the Spring season. The stock entered 2025 with bullish momentum in part thanks to Donald Trump’s presidential election win two months before the new year. However, that trend quickly reversed as Tesla’s sales fell and the founder, Elon Musk, became increasingly involved in politics. This time around, analysts are bullish due to the EV maker’s promising potential in the robotics and autonomous driving market.
Furthermore, the stock climb, rather than a drop-off, could also be attributed to Tesla giving aof its deliveries earlier this week. On its investor relations site, Tesla posted its own Wall Street consensus estimates for Q4 and full-year deliveries, likely to lessen the blow of the official report later in the week. The stock changed little after the preview, and the stock is up 4% in the last 30 days.
With Tesla (TSLA) stock trading near record highs, Wall Street analysts are mixed on the EV maker’s potential in 2026. In December, Andrew Percoco of Morgan Stanley downgraded Tesla to Equal-weight from Overweight, reversing the firm’s previously bullish position on the stock. Meanwhile, Wedbush currently has the highest price target of $600, while Piper Sandler and Cantor Fitzgerald project around $500. However, out of 49 analysts ratings per CNN Business, 41% rate TSLA a buy, 37% a hold, and the remaining 22% a sell. The lowest forecast for TSLA recognized by the CNN platform is a bearish $120 forecast, which WOULD imply an over 70% crash from current prices.