Bitcoin Munari Round 4 Closes Tonight as 10x Research Warns Market Structure Unsupportive Despite 92% Fed Rate Cut Odds

Bitcoin's latest institutional funding round slams shut tonight—just as a top crypto research firm throws cold water on the party.

Warning: The Foundation Cracks

10x Research isn't buying the hype. Their latest analysis cuts through the noise, arguing the current market structure simply can't support a sustained rally. This warning lands with a thud, directly contradicting the rampant optimism fueled by overwhelming market bets.

The Great Disconnect

Traders are piling into bets for a Federal Reserve pivot, with a 92% probability priced in for a rate cut. It's the classic 'don't fight the Fed' playbook. Yet, 10x Research insists the technical and on-chain foundations are crumbling. It's a stark reminder that in crypto, macro narratives and on-chain reality don't always hold hands—sometimes they're in a full-blown custody battle.

Active Contradiction

This creates a powerful tension for investors. Do you follow the overwhelming odds of a dovish central bank, or heed the warning that the asset's own infrastructure is weak? One side bets on the kindness of strangers (and central bankers); the other trusts the math in the chain.

Closing Bell & The Big Question

As the Munari round concludes, the stage is set. A flood of fresh capital meets a sobering structural warning. The market now faces its ultimate test: Can sheer monetary hope paper over the cracks, or will the foundation give way first? Sometimes, the most bullish setup is just a fancy narrative waiting for a rug pull.

Market Structure Warnings From 10x Research and Why They Matter for Bitcoin Munari’s Timing

10x Research’s latest report highlights several points of stress within Bitcoin’s derivatives landscape. The firm notes renewed demand for volatility, a return of downside skew, softening funding rates, and a divergence between futures positioning and spot activity. Spot ETFs have continued to record net outflows, adding another layer of pressure despite broader Optimism tied to upcoming liquidity conditions in the United States.

These signals appear at a moment when rate-cut expectations stand at 92% according to early-December data. A shift toward a more accommodative policy stance has supported hopes for stronger inflows NEAR year-end, a view echoed by analysts at multiple institutions. However, 10x Research cautions that the current derivatives structure does not yet support a stable foundation for upward continuation, suggesting the next one to two weeks may include unexpected moves.

For Bitcoin Munari, the presale’s timing within this landscape is relevant. Participants examining early-stage fixed-supply projects tend to re-evaluate entry points when volatility indicators rise, and Round 4’s scheduled conclusion places the $0.50 window inside a period of mixed sentiment. The round adheres to the project’s 10-stage pricing framework and moves closer to the transition toward higher valuation phases.

Technical Framework and Independent Oversight Behind Bitcoin Munari’s Development

Bitcoin Munari’s rollout follows a two-phase structure that begins with its solana SPL deployment before migrating to a dedicated Layer-1 environment through a 1:1 bridge. The mainnet incorporates an EVM-compatible execution layer, governance functions, and privacy configuration tools intended to support long-term operational flexibility. This architecture shapes the system’s transition from presale funding to a functional network capable of sustaining validator participation and on-chain activity. 

Independent reviews FORM a core component of the project’s development process. Bitcoin Munari underwent a smart-contract audit by Solidproof, a separate code review by Spy Wolf, and a formal team verification through Spy Wolf KYC. These assessments accompany the project as it prepares for its testnet cycle and validator onboarding. 

Recent coverage from Token Galaxy reviewed aspects of the project’s architecture, including its validation model and transition path.

Unlike Bitcoin, Munari Provides Multiple Paths for Network-Based Returns

Bitcoin Munari separates itself from Bitcoin’s operational model through a validation structure that introduces several ways for participants to earn network-based rewards. Full validation requires a 10,000 BTCM stake and server-grade hardware capable of maintaining continuous uptime; these nodes process transactions and underpin block production.

A second pathway offers a lighter operational role through mobile validation, where 1,000 BTCM allows a participant to run a compact Android client designed to verify signatures without storing full chain data. A third option enables non-technical involvement through delegation, beginning at 100 BTCM, allowing holders to assign stake to active validators and receive a portion of rewards without running infrastructure.

During the first operational year, reward distribution across these roles ranges between 18% and 25% APY, determined by validator uptime, network participation levels, and stake-weight dynamics. These multiple validation avenues create several return profiles not present in Bitcoin’s consensus model, forming part of the framework participants consider when entering the presale. 

Market Conditions Framing Bitcoin Munari’s Round 4 Cutoff

The market continues to MOVE through conflicting signals as derivatives metrics point to structural instability while rate-cut expectations approach their highest levels of the quarter. Data highlighted by 10x Research shows renewed appetite for volatility, softened funding rates, and positioning that lacks clear directional conviction, all of which suggest traders are preparing for movement rather than expressing confidence in any specific outcome.

These elements reinforce the sense that the broader structure remains fragile, even as Bitcoin’s spot price holds above the $91,000 range and volatility appears contained on the surface.

Within this setting, anticipation around potential monetary easing has introduced a counterweight to the caution reflected in derivatives markets.The high probability of a rate cut has supported liquidity expectations and encouraged closer review of supply-constrained assets while sentiment remains divided. Bitcoin Munari’s fourth presale round concludes during this period of mixed conditions, creating a clearly defined point in its distribution cycle as participants assess how uncertain short-term signals and more constructive macro factors shape the timing of presale entry.

Access BTCM at $0.50 Before Round 4 Closes

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