Shiba Inu’s $1 Dream: Analyst Sees Potential, But This One Giant Hurdle Stands in the Way

Can a meme coin born from a joke really hit the dollar mark? One analyst says the path exists—but the math is brutally unforgiving.

The Supply Mountain

Forget market sentiment or adoption rates. The primary anchor dragging on SHIB's price aspirations is its sheer, staggering supply. Circulating tokens number in the quadrillions, a figure so vast it makes traditional valuation models laugh. Reaching a single dollar would require a market capitalization that dwarfs the current combined value of every global stock, bond, and cryptocurrency—a feat only possible in the wildest dreams of retail traders and the marketing decks of questionable projects.

Beyond the Hype Cycle

The analyst's case hinges not on another social media frenzy, but on aggressive, sustained token burns and utility expansion that actually removes coins from circulation permanently. Every transaction fee diverted to a burn address, every token consumed by a new DeFi or metaverse application, chips away at that monolithic supply. It's a marathon of deflation, not a sprint of speculation.

The Realistic Horizon

Let's be blunt: a $1 SHIB in the near or even medium term belongs in the realm of fantasy, right next to perpetual motion machines and hedge funds that consistently beat the market. The potential the analyst outlines is a multi-year, perhaps decade-long, structural transformation. It requires the project to evolve far beyond its meme origins into a genuinely useful ecosystem with a radically different tokenomic foundation.

The journey from micro-fractions of a cent to even a single cent would be a monumental achievement, representing gains that would make early Bitcoin investors blush. The path to $1 isn't a price chart; it's a long, hard grind of supply destruction. So, can it happen? Technically, yes. Practically? Grab a chair. This could take a while—or end as the most expensive inside joke in financial history.

TLDR

• Crypto expert Szymanski believes Shiba Inu could still surprise the market and reach $1 despite its massive supply.
• The analyst argues that Shiba Inu’s price movements are driven by belief, timing, and attention rather than traditional logic.
• Critics highlight Shiba Inu’s enormous circulating supply as a major barrier to the $1 price target.
• Despite burning 41% of its supply, Shiba Inu still has 589.24 trillion tokens in circulation, making a $1 price difficult.
• Some supporters remain hopeful that aggressive token burns could eventually reduce the supply enough for SHIB to reach $1.

A widely-followed crypto analyst, Szymanski, recently revived the bold claim that shiba inu (SHIB) could eventually reach $1. Despite the token’s massive circulating supply, he believes that past market cycles have proven that belief and attention, rather than logic, drive SHIB’s price. This perspective has led him to argue that a future surge to $1, though improbable, remains a possibility under the right market conditions.

I keep seeing people saying $SHIB could reach $1 in 2026……

At first, it sounds crazy. But if you’ve followed $SHIB for a long time, you know one thing: meme coins don’t MOVE by logic alone….$SHIB moves on belief, timing, and attention.

Every cycle, people say it’s… pic.twitter.com/kOPHyjDxdK

— Szymanski (@Szymansk_ii) December 29, 2025

Shiba Inu’s Supply and the $1 Price Target

Szymanski acknowledged that reaching $1 WOULD be nearly impossible based purely on Shiba Inu’s current market dynamics. The token’s supply of 589.24 trillion coins far exceeds the global GDP, making such a target highly unlikely from a mathematical standpoint. This would imply a market capitalization of approximately $589 trillion, which is far beyond the world’s total economic output.

Not possible, look at the total supply of shib.

— DR.SKY (@SkyAck3rman) December 29, 2025

Despite this, the analyst maintained that Shiba Inu’s price movements historically do not follow traditional logic. He emphasized that meme coins like SHIB thrive on “belief, timing, and attention,” which can generate rapid price growth during bull markets. These factors, he argued, are not bound by traditional economic metrics and could still support an unexpected surge.

Szymanski also highlighted that Shiba Inu has defied critics in past cycles, where it was declared “dead” only to rebound later. This consistent recovery shows that investor interest in SHIB has never entirely faded, which could fuel a future rally.

Critics Highlight Supply Constraints and Ecosystem Issues

Despite Szymanski’s optimistic outlook, many critics continue to argue that Shiba Inu’s massive supply is an insurmountable barrier. A user commented that Shiba Inu could never reach $1 due to the sheer number of tokens in circulation. While the Shiba Inu community has burned approximately 41% of its total supply, the remaining tokens are still in the hands of many investors, some of whom are unlikely to part with their holdings.

The project’s critics also pointed to broader concerns, such as the team’s anonymous leadership and unresolved issues within the ecosystem. Allegations of some members promoting non-ecosystem tokens and a history of unfulfilled promises have led to skepticism about SHIB’s long-term potential. These factors have made it difficult for many to fully embrace the idea of Shiba Inu ever achieving such a high valuation.

Despite these concerns, some supporters remain hopeful that aggressive token burns could eventually reduce the supply enough to make the $1 target achievable. However, these large-scale burns seem unlikely to occur on a scale sufficient to overcome the supply challenge in the NEAR future.

The ongoing debate over Shiba Inu’s potential highlights the divide between those who believe in the power of meme-driven market forces and those who focus on more traditional economic factors.