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TSMC Stock: Wall Street’s Unstoppable Target-Hike Frenzy on the Chip Titan

TSMC Stock: Wall Street’s Unstoppable Target-Hike Frenzy on the Chip Titan

Published:
2026-01-07 10:52:22
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Analysts are tripping over themselves to slap higher price targets on the semiconductor behemoth.

The Upgrade Avalanche

It's not a trickle—it's a flood. Firm after firm is revising forecasts upward, driven by insatiable demand for advanced silicon. The narrative isn't about *if* growth continues, but *how high* it can go. Foundry dominance pays dividends, and the street is finally cashing the check.

Behind the Numbers

The math is simple: control the supply of the world's most critical tech components, command the market. Capacity, yield, and technological lead—TSMC has them all locked down. Competitors are playing catch-up in a race where the finish line keeps moving.

The Cynical Take

Of course, this bullish chorus comes with the usual Wall Street flair—where 'conviction' often means 'we missed the first rally and need clients to hold on.' But even the skeptics can't ignore the fundamentals. This isn't hype; it's hardware.

The chip giant isn't just manufacturing semiconductors—it's printing credibility for every analyst who manages to get their upgrade in before the next earnings report.

TLDR

  • TSMC shares surged 8% in early 2026 and jumped 6.9% on January 5, touching record highs after Goldman Sachs raised its price target 35% to NT$2,330
  • At least six brokerages including Goldman Sachs, Macquarie, and JPMorgan have increased their price targets since the start of 2026
  • JPMorgan hiked its target 24% to NT$2,100, projecting 30% USD revenue growth for 2026 driven by advanced chip technology demand
  • The company’s market value reached an all-time high of $1.4 trillion, with shares tripling over the past three years
  • TSMC is scheduled to report December quarter results on January 15, with analysts expecting 18% year-over-year sales growth and operating margins exceeding 50%

Wall Street analysts are rushing to update their forecasts for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. The chipmaker’s stock continues climbing to new record levels.

TSMC shares jumped 6.9% on January 5 to reach a fresh all-time high in Taipei trading. The rally came after Goldman Sachs raised its price target 35% to NT$2,330.


TSM Stock Card
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, TSM

The company’s American depositary receipts gained 1.7% in New York trading the same day. Tech stocks across Asia and the US also moved higher during the session.

At least six brokerages have lifted their price projections on the Taipei-listed stock since 2026 began. JPMorgan raised its target 24% to NT$2,100 in a report released on January 7.

Artificial Intelligence Demand Drives Growth Expectations

JPMorgan analyst Gokul Hariharan expects strong revenue expansion ahead. The firm projects 30% USD revenue growth for TSMC in 2026.

The growth forecast stems from rising demand for the company’s most advanced chipmaking technology. Higher pricing and increased orders for advanced packaging should also contribute.

“We expect 2026 to be another strong growth year for TSMC,” Hariharan wrote. “Gross margins should also see upside.”

Goldman Sachs analysts including Bruce Lu called AI “a multi-year growth engine” for the company. They noted profit margins are improving despite plans to spend $150 billion over three years to expand capacity.

TSMC shares are up 8% so far in 2026. The stock surged 44% in 2025, pushing the company’s market value above $1 trillion for the first time.

The rally has pushed TSMC’s market value to an all-time high of $1.4 trillion. The company’s shares have tripled over the past three years.

Earnings Report Expected to Show Continued Strength

TSMC is scheduled to report results for the December quarter on January 15. Analysts polled by Bloomberg expect sales ROSE 18% from a year ago.

Operating margins are projected to improve to a three-year high of over 50%. The strong margins WOULD reflect better product mix and higher yields on advanced chip production.

JPMorgan analysts believe several factors will support gross margin expansion. These include higher N3 chip yields, increased expedited wafer orders, and favorable currency exchange rates.

The investment bank forecasts 2027 will deliver over 20% revenue growth as well. Tight capacity in leading-edge chip nodes should continue supporting demand.

TSMC accounts for nearly 45% of Taiwan’s benchmark equity index weighting. The stock’s rally has propelled the Taiex to multiple record peaks.

The shares fell as much as 2.4% on January 7, cooling off after a four-day winning streak. Investors appeared to take profits following the sharp gains.

Tech stocks across Asia gained during the Monday session. Samsung Electronics extended gains to a fifth consecutive day ahead of its preliminary earnings results.

Japanese equipment makers Tokyo Electron and Advantest each advanced more than 7%. Chinese chip stocks also climbed after DeepSeek flagged a more efficient approach to training AI.

A gauge of Asian tech hardware companies trades at 16 times forward earnings estimates. That compares to 25 times for the Nasdaq 100, suggesting relative value in the region.

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