XRP on the Brink: How October’s ETF Approval Could Catapult Ripple to New Heights
XRP stands at a pivotal moment—October's potential ETF approval looms as the catalyst that could redefine its trajectory.
The Regulatory Gateway
Securities regulators hold the keys to mainstream adoption. An ETF greenlight doesn't just validate XRP—it throws open the doors for institutional capital that's been sidelined. Traditional finance finally gets a compliant on-ramp, bypassing the usual regulatory hoops.
Market Mechanics Unleashed
ETF approval injects immediate liquidity and stability. Market makers expand order books, volatility tightens, and suddenly XRP becomes a staple in diversified portfolios—not just a speculative asset. Price discovery shifts from retail sentiment to institutional flow.
The Ripple Effect
Ripple's ecosystem doesn't just benefit—it evolves. Banking partnerships accelerate, cross-border settlement volumes spike, and the utility token narrative gains undeniable credibility. Suddenly, every financial institution playing it safe with 'blockchain not crypto' faces existential FOMO.
Because nothing legitimizes a digital asset faster than Wall Street's ability to charge management fees on it.
XRP ETF approval odds are rising
Polymarket users are convinced that the Securities and Exchange Commission will approve spot XRP ETFs by the end of the year. The odds of this approval happening have jumped to over 96% this week.
If approval happens, it will likely come in October, when the agency has set final deadlines for most of these funds. The first deadline is the Grayscale Ripple (XRP) ETF, due on October 18.
Other deadlines for funds by 21Shares, Bitwise, Canary, WisdomTree, and Franklin Templeton will follow in the subsequent days.
There are a few reasons why the agency will approve these funds. First, Bitcoin (BTC) and ethereum (ETH) funds have done well, attracting over $55 billion and $13 billion in inflows since their inceptions.
Second, a U.S. court has ruled that XRP is not a security, removing one of the regulator’s biggest concerns. Further, XRP is a “Made in the USA” asset with utility in the payments industry.
XRP is also a large-cap coin with a market capitalization above $180 billion. It is one of the most actively traded tokens in the crypto industry, with spot and futures open interest both rising.
XRP price forecast before and after ETF approvals
Technicals suggest that the XRP price has more upside in the coming weeks as the countdown for ETF approvals continues. The daily time frame chart shows that the token has formed a falling wedge pattern whose two lines are about to converge.
It has already moved slightly above the wedge’s upper line and is now attempting to retest it. A break-and-retest pattern is one of the most common bullish continuation signals.
XRP has also formed other highly bullish patterns, including a cup-and-handle and a bullish pennant. It also remains above the 100-day moving average.
Therefore, the most likely XRP price forecast is bullish, with the next important resistance at $4.2970, the extreme overshoot of the Murrey Math Lines.
This rebound will likely occur before the ETF approval. After that, the coin will likely pull back as investors sell the news, before rebounding toward $5 as inflows begin.
