If You’d Invested $1,000 in BigBear.ai Stock 5 Years Ago, Here’s How Much You’d Have Today

Tech investors chasing AI dreams got a brutal reality check—BigBear.ai's rollercoaster ride proves even artificial intelligence can't outsmart market gravity.

The Hype vs. The Hard Numbers

Five years back, dropping a grand on BigBear.ai seemed like betting on the future. Today? Let's just say you'd have more fun setting that cash on fire—at least you'd get some warmth. The numbers don't lie, and they're not pretty.

Wall Street's AI Fantasy Meets Cold Hard Math

While traditional finance types were busy overcomplicating portfolios with 'smart' algorithms, this play turned into a masterclass in how not to chase tech trends. Another reminder that sometimes the smartest AI is the one that avoids stock picks altogether.

Image source: Getty Images.

If you'd invested $1,000 five years ago

BigBear.ai has received plenty of AI hype, but its financials leave much to be desired. The company has a roughly $1.9 billion market cap, but only reported about $32.5 million of revenue in its most recent quarter and an operating loss of over $90 million.

Still, AI enthusiasm over the past year has pushed the stock up over 276%, so a $1,000 investment one year ago WOULD now be worth $3,763. But this article is looking at a five-year investment, which goes back before all the AI hype, when the stock traded more on fundamentals. While investors would have made great money on it if they bought in recent years, they would still be down significantly had they purchased $1,000 of the stock further back. A $1,000 investment made five years ago would be worth $612 right now.

BBAI data by YCharts.

Ultimately, BigBear.ai may keep moving higher if the broader AI sector continues to do well, but the valuation certainly looks stretched right now.