Nvidia vs AMD: The AI Chip Stock This Investor Is Backing for Massive Gains

While Wall Street analysts debate semiconductor valuations, one investor is placing big bets on the future of AI hardware.

The Great Silicon Divide

Nvidia's dominance faces serious competition as AMD ramps up production of its own AI accelerators. Both companies reported record data center revenue last quarter, but their approaches couldn't be more different.

Performance Metrics That Matter

Processing power per watt separates the contenders from the pretenders in this high-stakes race. Thermal management becomes the invisible bottleneck that could make or break data center efficiency.

The Software Ecosystem War

Raw hardware specs only tell half the story—developer adoption and framework integration determine which chips actually get used. CUDA's moat looks formidable, but open alternatives are gaining traction.

Supply Chain Realities

TSMC's advanced packaging capacity remains the ultimate constraint for both players. Whoever secures more wafer allocation wins the next generation of AI deployments.

Because nothing says 'conviction' like betting millions on which company can cram more transistors onto a piece of silicon—the modern equivalent of picking which horse looks prettier before the race.

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There are only a handful of chip companies worldwide with the experience, knowledge, and resources to build this complex infrastructure of the future. Their products and services have been in high demand in recent years as businesses MOVE quickly to harness the potential of this exciting technology.

And this demand is expected to remain strong. According to a recent report by Markets and Markets, the market for AI chips is projected to expand at a CAGR of 20.4% over the next five years – increasing from $166.9 billion in 2025 to $311.58 billion in 2029.

While that certainly makes for an intriguing investment background, not all AI chip companies are created equal. Investor Bashar Issa looked into both Nvidiaand Advanced Micro Devicesto better understand which of these offers the best opportunity to secure long-term value. Let’s see what he uncovered.

Undisputed data center top dog Nvidia has become almost synonymous with advanced AI chips. The company’s ability to deliver incredible technological value has become sacrosanct, and CEO Jensen Huang has achieved near rockstar status in the tech world.

The company has staked a claim to some 90% of the data center market, a concrete demonstration of Nvidia’s unmistakable domination of this growing field. Nvidia’s earnings reports are must-see viewing, as they provide the yardstick upon which the health of the industry writ large is measured.

That was true again in Fiscal Q2 2026, when Nvidia reported record sales of $46.7 billion – up 56% year-over-year – and margins back in the 70% range after a temporary China-related write-off. Yet, despite these blockbuster numbers, the stock slipped after the release, as expectations for even bigger gains went unmet.

The letdown was particularly sharp in the data center segment, where revenues of $41.1 billion fell just shy of forecasts. Add in lingering concerns over China sales, and some investors turned cautious.

But not everyone sees reason for worry. Bashar Issa urges investors to view the pullback as a chance to buy into Nvidia’s long-term growth story.

“AI infrastructure demand is still in its infancy,” Issa argues, calling the current weakness a classic “buy-the-dip opportunity.”

The investor points to the hyperscalers – with the exception of Microsoft – accelerating AI capex at a blistering pace. Alphabet has boosted spending by $30 billion this year to reach $85 billion, and Amazon raised its budget from $83 billion to $100 billion.

That flood of spending reflects a demand backdrop that far outstrips supply. More importantly, it’s being fueled by highly profitable cloud businesses, with AWS and Google Cloud posting Q2 2025 operating margins of 33% and 20.7%, respectively. These economics give the hyperscalers every incentive to keep pressing forward.

And as Issa emphasizes, none of these players can afford to be seen slowing down on AI innovation.

“Our conclusion is that there is a financial and strategic incentive for cloud providers to continue their AI spending initiatives, creating a tailwind for Nvidia’s share price,” the investor says, assigning NVDA a Strong Buy rating. (To watch Bashar Issa’s track record, click here)

Wall Street is broadly in agreement. With 35 Buys, 3 Holds, and just 1 Sell, the stock enjoys a Strong Buy consensus. The 12-month average price target of $210.73 suggests upside of more than 25% from current levels. (See)

Those hoping to see AMD enjoy the same kind of breakout that Nvidia has delivered were in for a disappointment. While Nvidia’s share price exploded by 1,070% over the last three years, AMD’s gains amounted to a more modest 80% in that same period.

And even that growth wasn’t steady. The stock endured a bruising stretch last year, losing half its value between March 2024 and early April. The irony for investors was that AMD wasn’t exactly faltering on the fundamentals. It continued to post consistent revenue growth, apart from the usual seasonal dip in Q1, but the company struggled to step out from Nvidia’s enormous shadow.

Lately, though, AMD has been staging a comeback. Shares have nearly doubled in just a few months, fueled by record Q2 2025 revenues of $7.7 billion, a $10 billion deal with Saudi Arabia’s HUMAIN, and Optimism surrounding its MI350 and MI400 GPU families. The hope is that these chips might finally chip away at Nvidia’s dominance in the inference market.

That optimism, however, isn’t universally shared. Issa, for one, is skeptical.

“Claims that AMD will dominate AI inference are unsupported; Nvidia already leads both training and inference markets, leaving AMD with little share,” the investor argues.

Issa points to the sheer disparity in scale. AMD’s data center revenue hit $3.2 billion in Q2 2025, growing 14% year-over-year. Nvidia’s comparable figure was $41.1 billion – thirteen times larger.

“Let that sink in. AMD added $410 million to its data center revenue, while Nvidia added ~$15 billion,” Issa emphasizes.

And with AMD trading at a Forward P/E of 41.5x – higher than many faster-growing software peers, including Nvidia – the valuation picture, according to Issa, looks stretched.

In other words, steer clear of AMD, which earns a Sell rating from Issa.

Wall Street, however, isn’t as ready to jump ship. With 26 Buys and 11 Holds, AMD carries a Moderate Buy consensus rating. Its 12-month average price target of $184.26 suggests an upside of ~19% from current levels. (See)

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