Polymarket Traders Bet Big: Bitcoin’s Peak Target Locked Between $100,000 and $120,000
Prediction markets are flashing a clear signal for Bitcoin's next major milestone.
The Wisdom of the Crowd
Forget analyst price targets—the real money is voting with its capital on decentralized platforms. Traders are collectively pointing to a six-figure summit for the flagship cryptocurrency, placing their bets squarely in the six-figure range.
Beyond the Hype Cycle
This isn't just speculative fever. It represents a quantified consensus from participants who have skin in the game, a stark contrast to the free price predictions often tossed around by traditional finance pundits who risk nothing but their reputation.
The Road to Six Figures
Reaching this target zone would require a significant rally from current levels. The path likely hinges on continued institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and the evolving macroeconomic landscape favoring hard assets.
The crowd has spoken—now we wait to see if the market obeys. After all, in crypto, the only thing more volatile than the price is the confidence of those predicting it.
Uncertainties surrounding the fate of Bitcoin spark controversy
Regarding the four-year cycle, it is worth noting that the cycle followed trends around halving events in the history of BTC. It also played a crucial role in the cryptocurrency ecosystem by helping traders forecast future movements. Now that the cycle is losing prominence, analysts suggest that a new trading pattern may be emerging.
Interestingly, despite the crypto market being pessimistic, experts still propose that 2026 will be a strong year for Bitcoin. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump made it clear that he intends to announce the US Federal Reserve’s new chair in the upcoming weeks. This news sparked hope in the cryptocurrency industry, as many had anticipated that interest rates would decrease.
Immediately after those assumptions, the prices of precious metals, such as Gold and silver, increased significantly, with both reaching new peaks in the last quarter of 2025. Digital assets, on the other hand, remained unchanged.
Analysts are now expressing the likelihood of crucial crypto legislation, the GENIUS Act and the CLARITY Act, to provide straightforward regulations and potentially facilitate significant institutional adoption.
Several analysts from firms such as Standard Chartered, Strategy, and Bernstein forecast that the price of BTC may reach an all-time high of $150,000 by 2026. Others, like Tom Lee from Fundstrat, who adopted a more positive outlook on the matter, suggested that the cryptocurrency could rise as much as $200,000 to $250,000.
Traders point out some of the limitations surrounding BTC’s growth
Bitcoin’s price ignited tension in the crypto industry after dropping sharply in November. Analysts claim that some factors could not sustain the cryptocurrency’s price above the $110,000 level. These factors were institutional investments and corporate purchases.
They provided various reasons to back this claim. Among these reasons, one key factor raised is the surging interest in bitcoin options, particularly those related to the BlackRock iShares spot Bitcoin (IBIT) exchange-traded fund.
In the meantime, it was confirmed that the total open interest in Bitcoin options escalated from a record of $39 billion noted in December 2024 to a new level in December 2025. Analysts explained that this rise led to heightened awareness of the covered call strategy in the ecosystem.
Critics, on the other hand, expressed their belief that by leasing out their anticipated earnings for a fee, major investors have unintentionally set a restriction that halts Bitcoin from attaining its next substantial growth phase. To better understand this point, analysts noted that it is useful to perceive a covered call as an option between earning a higher price and receiving a regular income.
Claim your free seat in an exclusive crypto trading community - limited to 1,000 members.
