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AMD's deal with OpenAI could be worth billions
OpenAI recently announced a new partnership with AMD to deploy up to 6 gigawatts of the tech company's advanced GPUs for its AI-focused data centers. The first gigawatt of the deal will be delivered in the second half of 2026 and scale up from there as the companies work together to share expertise.
AMD issued a warrant to OpenAI for up to 160 million shares of its stock if certain goals are met. For AMD's part, the deal could be worth "tens of billions of dollars," according to AMD CFO Jean Hu.
Oneanalyst estimates that the revenue potential for AMD could be as high as $90 billion if it reaches the full extent of the deal. That's an impressive amount on its own, but it's even more notable when you consider that AMD's 2024 data center revenue was $12.6 billion. That means the potential revenue from the deal could be many more times the company's current annual data center sales.
Having OpenAI as a customer could spur more deals from other clients
While nothing has been announced about new AMD clients, I think it's important to highlight that the company scoring a big graphics processing unit (GPU) deal with OpenAI could help bring in additional deals with other customers.
AMD has played second fiddle toin the AI GPU space for a while. But the OpenAI partnership could convince other tech giants that if AMD's processes are good enough for a leading AI company, they're likely good enough for their AI data center needs as well. Before the OpenAI deal was announced, some estimates put AMD's AI chip market share at just 4% by 2030, compared to Nvidia's 67% in that same year. With the current partnership, I wouldn't be surprised if AMD's future market share ends up being significantly higher.
The OpenAI deal comes as companies are continuing to spend massive sums on their AI data center infrastructure. Nvidia's management estimates this spending could be between $3 trillion to $4 trillion between now and 2030. With AMD snagging such an important customer in OpenAI, some of this data center spending over the next few years could shift a little more to AMD.
AMD is a buy, but keep this in mind
AMD is still far behind Nvidia in the AI-specific GPU market, even with the new OpenAI deal. Nvidia has an estimated 70% to 95% of the AI data center processor market right now. It's unclear how much AMD will be able to carve into that lead. What's more, while the deal could eventually give AMD tens of billions of dollars, it's not guaranteed.
Still, that shouldn't keep you from putting $250 toward AMD stock right now. The company just scored a major partnership with one of the world's leading AI companies, and it could prove to be an important catalyst for the company over the coming years.
